Free. Ungated. Nothing stored.
AI project risk diagnostic
Eight questions about your project, each one asked because a named study measured or identified that factor. You get a risk-factor load, the failure modes your answers point to, and the research behind each. It will not tell you whether your project will fail, because nothing can.
The questions below, and the study behind every one of them, are the useful part. They work whether or not you ever press the button.
AI project risk diagnostic
Read this first
This is not a validated statistical model and it cannot predict whether your project will fail. It is a structured way to check your project against the factors that published studies actually measured. Every question below exists because a named study measured that factor, and each one shows you which. Nothing is stored, nothing is sent anywhere, and there is no sign-up.
How the scoring works, in full
Each answer carries a weight from 0 to 3. The score is the sum of your answers as a percentage of the maximum 24. A failure mode is shown when any of the questions that trigger it was answered at weight 2 or above, and the three with the most triggers are displayed.
The weights are ours, not the studies'. No published research assigns a risk weight to "a committee owns it" versus "one named person owns it". The studies establish that these factors matter. The ordering of severity is a judgement, and you should feel free to disagree with it. We publish the rule so you can.
There is no hidden model, no calibration data, and no benchmark population. Calling this output a probability would be a lie, so we call it a risk-factor load: the proportion of the documented risk conditions your project currently carries.
Why it is not gated
The nearest comparable resources put a spreadsheet behind an email form. That is a lead-capture mechanism wearing a tool's clothing, and the audience for this material has learned to read it that way. We have nothing to sell you, so there is nothing to gate.
Questions, answered
Is this a validated statistical model?
No. It cannot predict whether your project will fail and it does not try. It is a structured way to check a project against factors that named studies measured or identified. The weights are a judgement about risk ordering, not a finding from any study.
What does the diagnostic measure?
Eight factors: where the project came from, whether a business metric with a baseline exists, whether the data exists and is reachable, who owns the system after launch, whether it changes existing daily work, whether there is a funded route to production, whether you are buying or building bespoke, and whether spending is capped and alerted.
Is it free, and do I have to sign up?
It is free and there is no sign-up. Nothing is stored and nothing is sent anywhere. The scoring runs entirely in your browser.
Why should I trust the questions?
Each question shows the study it comes from and links to it. Where a study is a forecast rather than a measurement, or blocks automated readers, we say so on the source itself.
We have run no surveys and delivered no AI projects. Our authority is that we read the primary research and show our working.
Next: what the failure rate actually is, and which of the numbers you have seen were never published by anyone.